Great financial tips to ensure you make more dollar

During recent months, the Canadian dollar traded a tight range against Sterling between 2.2500 and 2.3000. This follows a sharp uptrend in GBP/CAD from a low around 1.9737 (02/03/06) to a recent high at 2.3567 (23/01/07) caused by expectations of higher interest rates in the UK, coupled with interest rate stagnation in Canada. At the same time, the US$ has weakened, forcing the exchange over US$2 per GBP and down to US$1.11 per CAD giving UK customers a boost while detracting the value for our southern neighbours.

In the UK, the Bank of England left interest rates on hold in April, however, expectations of higher rates in the months ahead continue to offer support to Sterling. With a buoyant housing market and strong levels of consumer spending, the market is expecting that the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) will be forced to raise rates at least once more in an attempt to dampen down inflationary pressures. The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI the most recognised measure of inflation in the UK) is currently running at 2.8% y/y against a target rate of 2.0% and raising interest rates is the most obvious way of combating rising prices.

Meanwhile, Canada has been faced by interest rate stagnation following the rise to 4.25% in May 2006. Risks to the Canadian economy remain finely balanced with the threat of an economic slowdown filtering across the boarder from the US. As its biggest trading partner, any signs of a struggling US economy may impact the Canadian economy although this has not really been the case so far in 2007. In similar fashion to the UK, the Canadian housing market remains robust with The Canadian Real Estate Association reporting strong sales of existing homes in February and record high average house prices. The Canadian Dollar is also likely to remain well supported against the US$ by rising oil prices given that oil exports represent a large percentage of the Canadian economy.

Looking back to March 2006 GBP/CAD traded a low of 1.9737 (02/03/06) indicating a difference of CAD 32,300 in less than twelve months when looking to transfer 100,000. Therefore, anyone looking to transfer funds between Canada and the UK should pay considerable attention to the GBP/CAD exchange rate as it can have such a dramatic impact upon their future wealth. Should you be looking to move large sums it definitely pays to monitor the markets and be aware of international factors that can affect which direction currencies will go. The debt and ongoing military interventions of the US will undoubtedly have some effect on the US$ against the CAD, though the weak US$ will most likely help boost the exports from their struggling economy. The recent trend of the Dow Jones to smash new records and factory orders starting to increase does point towards the start of a turn around for the US which, if fuelled by the exports will be another reason for the US to try to maintain a weaker dollar.

Advising migrants and businesses of currency movements and protecting them from the risks associated with fluctuating exchange rates is the speciality of currency brokers. Whilst nobody can guarantee future currency movements due to the sheer size and number of participants in the market, both personal and business accounts can increase their bottom lines in dramatic fashion by taking expert advice.

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In over 30 years, since November 1976, the US dollar and Canadian dollar have not been par until now. As the Canadian economy has been progressing over the years, the US economy seems to have fallen behind with all its turmoil. The war in Iraq has not helped the US economic situation but rather offset the deficit, and in a move to avoid the forecasted economic recession due to the credit crunch, the feds cut interests rates by 0.5 points to 4.75 percent.

The move to cut interest rates to ease the mortgage industry has weakened the US dollar against foreign currency including the Euro, and giving the push for the Canadian dollar to hit parity with the US dollar. One US dollar now buys one Canadian dollar. But the Canadian dollars gain isnt only linked to the US federal interest rate cut, but can also be seen as the Canadian economy has been booming in an upward gain from 2006 with a low inflation rate, and a red hot oil industry.

This rapid progression of the Canadian dollar against the US comes as a shock to some Canadians, who measured the Canadian dollar value at .62 USD only four years ago in 2002, and now hitting par seems too good to be true.

As Jeff Rubin, chief economist and strategist at CIBC World Markets, stated, the Canadian economy that once used to be the sleepy little resource backwater of the North American economy is certainly turning the tables on its big brother in a hurry.”

So what does all this have to do with Canadian and American dealings with each other? Well, for starts there will be an increase in American exports as buying from the American markets will become cheaper for Canadians. Although, vice versa Canadian exports to America will also decrease, as it will simply cost more for Americans to buy Canadian manufactured goods.

The Canadian tourism industry will also suffer, as more American visitors will decline as the dollar parity discourages Americans from shopping in Canada, since the one time savings of up to 40%, due to the dollar value, will no longer be available to Americans.

Although, Canadians will suffer in sales, they will gain in purchasing from American based businesses, and buying cars from the American side is becoming more attractive to some Canadians. As car prices in Canada are much higher than in America, a lot of Canadian shoppers will find drastic savings by traveling south of the border to buy a car. The difference in prices may not be the greatest for all cars, but gaps in some categories such as luxury sports cars, will save a Canadian buyer almost $14,000 on average.

But the high loony will put pressure on Canadian companies that are dependent on exporting to the US, who is also Canadas largest trading partner. Already, in 2006 there were almost 100,000 job losses in southeastern Ontario, due to the rising Canadian dollar against the US dollar.

Even with such a massive job loss, the Canadian economy is still doing well, as the manufacturing sector loss a total of 289, 000 jobs since 2002, the Canadian economy has created over one million jobs in resources, construction, services, health care, education and financial industries, leaving the national jobless rate at 30-year low.

In contrast the Canadian dollar seems to be stronger over the American for the time being, but only time will tell the future of the American dollar vs. the Canadian. If asked to predict, there is always uncertainty, but given factors such as future interest rate cuts by the Americans, could possibly even lower the US dollar compared to the Canadian, and this could become reality in the next 6-12 months.

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